The odds of a recession in the US may be creeping higher — but those rising risks do not mean a deep economic downturn is a foregone conclusion.

This rare phenomenon in the Fed's recession prediction model may indicate there will be a major U.S. crash in 2025.

US markets are overvalued, heavily reliant on foreign capital, and vulnerable to tariffs and geopolitical shifts, impacting ...

Is the U.S. economy headed for a recession? Stocks have plunged. So have measures of consumer and business confidence.

Economic sentiment is souring and Americans are taking to the memes for comfort.

The yield curve can tell us a lot about where the economy is headed. Here’s how the yield curve works and how you can use it ...

The hard data still points to a strong economy. But "soft" data — like consumer confidence readings — paints a different ...

Do Interest Rates Rise or Fall in a Recession? Interest rates usually fall during a recession. Historically, the economy typically grows until interest rates are hiked to cool down price inflation and ...

Traditional indicators often do not identify the start of a recession until well after it has occurred. But a new model ...

Timothy has helped provide CEOs and CFOs with deep-dive analytics, providing beautiful stories behind the numbers, graphs ... do well during tough economic times. During a recession, most investors ...

Dear Quentin, Is it finally time to freak out? I’ve read letters from people concerned about their retirement and losing ...

Since U.S. President Donald Trump took office in January, he has imposed biting new tariffs, with more coming, begun a ...