Relative calm returned to global markets, with stocks climbing and oil sinking alongside gold as fears subsided that Israel’s war against Iran would escalate into a wider conflict. Equities extended gains on news reports Iran is signaling it wants to restart talks over nuclear programs.

The Federal Reserve will release its June rate decision on Wednesday, with the market expecting the central bank to hold interest rates steady. Bank of America Securities senior US economist Stephen Juneau and Ritholtz Wealth Management chief market strategist Callie Cox join Morning Brief to discuss their expectations for the Fed meeting as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East rise.

US markets closed in red on June 11, 2025, influenced by modest inflation, a U.S.-China trade truce, and rising oil prices from Middle East tensions.

If the middle east conflict remains restricted, or even subside, one could see the market impact wear off, said Chirag Mehta, the CIO at Quantum AMC. However, the markets are at risk of a correction as valuations have been cooled off,

The benchmark indices rallied on Monday despite the ongoing war between Iran and Israel. Sensex jumped 677 points to 81,796, while the broader Nifty closed 228 points higher at 24,946. Investor wealth rose by Rs 3 lakh crore to Rs 450.18 lakh crore on BSE today against Rs 447.21 lakh crore on Friday.

The dollar, which has lost around 10% in value against a basket of currencies this year, fell to its lowest since April 2022, as weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data for May suggested that the Federal Reserve could resume cutting interest rates sooner rather than later.

Israel and Iran are on the brink of war once again! But why did this geopolitical risk push the Indian stock market into a frenzy of selling on Friday? And will the trend continue next week?