While the islands are in the five-day forecast cone, meteorologists said that Kiko will be a completely different storm by the time it approaches Hawaii early next week.

After a hurricane passes, scientists routinely analyze the assorted computer models used to predict its path and power and crown a victor. This year, a surprising new contender has emerged — a forecast model generated by artificial intelligence.

The latest on Hurricane Erin as of the morning of Aug. 20: a new inner eye wall and more Jersey Shore precautions.

But that progress, and future improvements, are now at risk, Vecchi says, because of the ongoing disruptions to federal agencies and the country's science enterprise imposed by the Trump administration, which has slashed the size of the federal government in the months since Trump took office.

Last year taught us through what felt like brute force that the season isn’t over until it’s over. Long-range forecast models do suggest we could see a similar second half of our 2025 season once the Madden Julian Oscillation pushes in and hangs with us for almost a full month.

Kiko continues on a path to pass through the north side of the Hawaiian Islands, bringing the potential of life-threatening rip current conditions.

Usually, the second week of September is buzzing with tropical activity. This year, though, the Atlantic hurricane season is snoozing. Here's why that's happening and some perspective on what lies ahead.

The tropical Atlantic Basin is strangely quiet as we hit the statistical peak of hurricane season. Associate Scientist at the University of Miami Dr. Andy Hazelton joined FOX Weather on Tuesday to explain what stands out to him when looking at the limiting factors for tropical development this season.