Thanks to reporting lags and number revisions, recessions typically aren’t declared until well after they have begun.

The odds of a recession in the US may be creeping higher — but those rising risks do not mean a deep economic downturn is a foregone conclusion.

Traditional indicators often do not identify the start of a recession until well after it has occurred. But a new model ...

Consumers, businesses and investors are increasingly jittery about the risks of a protracted slump. So what exactly is a ...

Global stocks looked set for their weakest weekly performance since September 2024, while gold hit a record high, as angst ...

Investors are scrambling to make sense of the on-again, off-again nature of Trump’s tariffs, the Fed’s next moves and ...

The National Bureau of Economic Research, a non-profit that tracks U.S. business cycles, defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and ...

The “R” word, recession, suddenly has become a hot topic, as more Americans wonder if tariffs and other pressures might push the economy into a tailspin. It's mostly speculation at this point ...

The movement in the stock market is reinforcing this message. The question is: Will the Trump administration listen, or are we heading into a government-induced economic recession?

Economists say Australia has turned a corner. They say inflation has declined, real wages are growing, economic activity has ...