A new area in the Atlantic has been tagged for possible tropical development. The area of interest was first highlighted on Wednesday – the statistical peak of hurricane season.

The National Hurricane Center is tracking a tropical wave that emerged from the west coast of Africa, though the system poses no immediate threat to the U.S. Virgin Islands or Puerto Rico. The disturbance, noted in the NHC’s 2:00 a.m. outlook on Friday, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms in the far eastern Atlantic.

The Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf are still quiet, but a disturbance forecast to move off Africa tomorrow has a chance of eventually developing.

Like last year, tropics are quiet at peak season. Here’s why, and the surf we can expect in the coming months.

As of Thursday, AccuWeather believes 13-16 named storms and six to nine hurricanes will form before the end of the hurricane season. This is a slight decrease from the initial forecast for 13-18 named storms, and seven to 10 hurricanes issued back in March.

This year has been quieter than expected for tropical systems in the Atlantic, making some wonder: Where are all the hurricanes?

AccuWeather's updated forecast for the remainder of hurricane season calls for slightly few storms, but major hurricanes and direct US impacts same.